It's been a quiet February but I will be at Ascot for what looks set to be a cracking card including a fascinating Ascot Chase. Will Jonbon cement his Ryanair credentials today?
13:15, Betfair Novices' Hurdle
Catchintsavo 11/2, 1pt win
The opener here looks a decent contest and it deserves to be with a fair roll of honour over the years. These are all unexposed types but Catchintsavo held on gamely from the front at Ludlow last time out from a subsequent scorer who was in receipt of weight that day. The Anthony Honeyball runner had previously finished 2nd to the decent Laguna Beach the time before and had good bumper form, as shown when finishing third at the Punchestown meeting. Now he's got his head in front, he could take the next step and he could be given an easy time up front here, being a proven stayer who likes to get on with things.
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14:25, Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle
Lightningupourdays 9/2, 2pts each-way (4 places)
Alistair Ralph's yard continue in good nick and his runner here must have a decent chance off a low weight. The 7 year old finished 3rd in a hot race at Hereford last time out and looks fairly treated now having been nudged up 2 pounds. He came on for his seasonal debut last season to win at the second time of asking (beaten by classy Wendigo on appearance) and although he finished the campaign by finishing 3rd at Newbury in March, both the front two have gone on to better things since.
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15:00, Betfair Swinley Handicap Chase
Invincible Nao 16/1, 1pt each-way (3 places)
The big handicap chase of the day at Ascot is dominated in the market by those off low weights but that's not surprising as Sam Brown is lumping plenty here. There looks to be plenty of pace on here and this could turn into a real test so it may pay to go with one who could ghost into this from the rear. Gary and Josh Moore's Invicible Nao has had an in-and-out career but comes into this off the back of some decent efforts in defeat over marathon trips. He's shaped the last twice as if this drop back to 3 miles is a good move despite the fact he won the Sussex National last year. The return to a softer surface here will help and even though he's 4 pound out the handicap he could run well here at big odds.
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16:10, Betfair Handicap Hurdle
Top Guy 5/1, 2pts each-way (5 places)
High Treason 20/1, 1pt each-way (5 places)
This is a red hot handicap and it could be that a similar race at Newbury last month is going to provide the clues into this. The winner of that race is now favourite for the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham next month and Top Guy ran on really well from the back of the last to finish 2nd there. He's still well treated and runs here off a low weight for powerful connections. He shaped as though he'll love getting back on a softer surface and must have a huge chance. Just in behind him that day was High Treason. The 7 year old hasn't enjoyed chasing but looked much more at ease back over the smaller obstacles that day and plugged on well up the straight when he raced alone on the inside. He too will like the ground here and could well build on that effort now connections seem happy to go down the staying hurdle route.