14:30, Chesham Stakes
Humidity 9/2, 2pts each-way (3 places)
I was at Newbury to see Andrew Balding's son of Ulysses win on debut and thought that was a good bit of form. He looked as though a step up in trip would bring about improvement and I think he'll win this.
///
15:05, Hardwicke Stakes
Tabletalk 22/1, 1pt each-way (4 places)
Rebel's Romance will win this easily if he turns up in top form but that has to be taken on trust as the stable is having a poor week and this 7 year old has been weak in the market. At big odds, Tom Clover's Tabletalk could run well. He won the Melrose last year but has showed improved form as a 4 year old to finish 2nd in both his outings to date, both coming in decent races over this trip at Newbury. He was just touched off first time up and may have won last time out if not for conceding first run to the winner. He's a strong stayer and offers each-way appeal.
///
15:40, Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
Storm Boy 6/1, 2pts win
This is a decent renewal and Lazzat deserves to be favourite but the ground has to be a worry for the French horse. Inisherin is very good but will need further improvement to win this whilst Satono Reve brings in top international form from Asia but has been well found in the market. Storm Boy meanwhile has drifted to a backable price. The big Australian horse came over to Ireland with a big future in store for him but it all went wrong on Northern Hemisphere debut at the Curragh last month where he finished last of 9 runners. He should come on plenty for that though and Ryan Moore didn't knock him about when he was tiring late on. I suspect we will see a totally different horse here.
///
16:20, Jersey Stakes
Saracen 8/1, 1pt each-way (4 places)
This is an open renewal of the Jersey but I like Joseph O'Brien's Saracen. He bolted up on debut on his sole run at 2 and stepped up on that form to finish 3rd in a hot renewal of the Greenham Stakes. He hasn't run since but if he can build on that then he must have a big chance here.
///
17:00, Wokingham Stakes
More Thunder 4/1, 3pts win
Ten Pounds 28/1, 1pt each-way (6 places)
Golden Mind 28/1, 1pt each-way (6 places)
More Thunder must be in calculations as he has improved so much this year since sent sprinting and looks tailor made for the Wokingham. At bigger odds though, Ten Pounds could run a big race. He won a nice race on seasonal debut over 7 furlongs at Newmarket and was fancied for the Victoria Cup here last time but was too keen and nothing went right that day. If you put a line through that run, he shouldn't be 28/1 and will stay well. Golden Mind is well in here and Richard Fahey has put up a 5 pound claimer which is encouraging. He finished 3rd in the Jersey Stakes 2 years ago and put up a huge run on Oaks day over 7 furlongs. He could be a live one for this.
///
17:35, Golden Gates Handicap
El Burhan 15/2, 2.5pts each-way (5 places)
Roosevelt 10/1, 1pt win
This just may not be the hottest renewal of the race but still a challenging one. From stall 1, Ryan Moore is going to surely force the pace on stoutly bred Roosevelt. This outlandishly expensive colt has run poorly on 2 of his starts but did win when sent to the front over 12 furlongs and is sure to run a good race but preference is for George Boughey's gelding El Burhan. He has won 3 of his 5 starts and all over about 7 furlongs. He won on seasonal debut at Chester last month and has been put up just 2 pounds for that. Considering the track and trip wouldn't have been ideal for him I though the win could be marked up. Connections now step him up markedly in trip for Royal Ascot and I expect this has been the plan.
///
18:10, Queen Alexandra Stakes
Sober 4/5, 5pts win
Wins, enough said hopefully.
No comments:
Post a Comment